52 考評局總監 – 考試、評核及研究黃曉婷博士向學校講解文憑試預測等級研究 Dr Huang Xiao-ting, Director of Examinations, Assessment and Research of the HKEAA, presented the results of the HKDSE Predicted Level Study to secondary schools HKDSE Predicted Level Study In order to provide more useful feedback to schools, the 2019 Hong Kong Diploma of Secondary Education Examination (HKDSE) Predicted Level Study adopted a new statistical analysis method known as ‘multilevel logistic regression’ and a survey to identify effective prediction strategy was conducted. A briefing seminar was held in October 2019 in which 71 participating schools received an oral presentation on the overall results as well as individual school reports. Schools were very positive about the new elements of the study. While the 2019 Predicted Level Study focused on the four core subjects, the HKEAA announced in April 2020 that it would conduct a study on the mechanism for predicting the results of all HKDSE Category A subjects for school candidates, which could be a contingency measure in case the HKDSE could not be conducted under extreme conditions. In the 2020 study, a total of 377 schools submitted their school assessment marks. Participating schools would receive school reports on prediction results in September 2020. 文憑試等級預測研究 為向學校提供更有用的回饋，2019年香港中 學文憑考試(文憑試)預測等級研究採用了「多 層次邏輯斯迴歸」方式作統計分析，並增設 問卷調查以分辨有效的成績預測策略。我們 在2019年10月舉辦簡介會，向71所參與學 校簡報研究結果，並發放學校報告。學校對 研究的新加入項目反應正面。 2019年的預測等級研究聚焦在四個核心科 目。考評局在2020年4月宣布，就全部文憑 試甲類科目進行預測等級研究，作為在極端 情況下無法舉行文憑試時的應急方案。2020 年，共有377所學校提交了學校評核分數， 參與學校於2020年9月獲發學校報告。
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